Every pick graded. Every loss counted. Every method documented. No cherry-picking, no hidden losses, no fake screenshots. This is what real AI-powered sports analysis looks like.
Each sport runs its own calibrated analysis pipeline with sport-specific agents. Win rates vary by sport, stat type, and market efficiency.
A well-calibrated model's confidence scores match real-world outcomes. When our system says "65% confidence," that pick should win approximately 65% of the time.
Diagonal line = perfect calibration. The closer the pairs, the better our model is calibrated.
Not all prop types are created equal. Some stats are more predictable than others. Here's where our model finds the most edge - sample sizes included.
Our models consistently find more edge on UNDER picks. This is a structural advantage - the betting public tends to bet overs, creating mispricing on unders.
No black boxes. No secret sauce. Here's exactly how our multi-agent analysis pipeline works - from raw data to final confidence score.
Every pick is graded against official box score results from verified data sources. A pick is graded WIN if the player's actual stat line meets the predicted direction relative to the line at the time of analysis. A pick is graded LOSS if it does not. Pushes (exact line hits) are excluded from win rate calculations.
All statistics on this page reflect out-of-sample performance - these are picks made before game time and graded after games conclude. No picks are retroactively added or removed. Sample sizes are displayed alongside every metric so you can assess statistical significance.
Win rates are calculated as: wins ÷ (wins + losses). ROI assumes flat $100 wagers at -110 standard juice: ((wins × $90.91) - (losses × $100)) ÷ total_wagers.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk. You should never bet more than you can afford to lose. Propeller provides sports analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. We are not a sportsbook and do not accept wagers.
A 57.8% win rate, while statistically significant over 3,000+ picks, does not guarantee profitability for any individual bettor. Actual results will vary based on the lines available at your sportsbook, timing of your bets, and variance inherent to sports outcomes. Any form of gambling can be addictive. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Propeller's analysis represents our model's assessment of player prop outcomes. It is not financial advice, gambling advice, or a recommendation to place any specific wager. All betting decisions are yours alone.
The numbers speak for themselves. Download Propeller and get AI-powered prop analysis for every game, every sport.
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